Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 39.31%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-0 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
0.03) 
-0.04) 
