SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 29.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Queen of the South in this match.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Annan Athletic |
46.9% ( 0.02) | 23.82% ( -0) | 29.27% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 59.25% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.44% ( -0) | 42.55% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.04% ( -0) | 64.96% ( -0) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.66% ( 0) | 18.34% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.55% ( 0.01) | 49.44% ( -0.01) |
| Annan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.56% ( -0.01) | 27.43% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.08% ( -0.01) | 62.92% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Annan Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.53% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.24% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.29% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.09% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.42% 4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.45% Other @ 3.54% Total : 46.9% | 1-1 @ 11.03% 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.03% 3-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.81% | 1-2 @ 7.14% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.51% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.21% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0)1-4 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.93% Total : 29.27% |
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