SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Clyde | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Queen of the South | 6 | -4 | 5 |
| 9 | Kelty Hearts | 6 | -8 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dunfermline Athletic | 6 | 7 | 14 |
| 2 | Edinburgh City | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | Montrose | 6 | 5 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 30.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Edinburgh City |
43.39% ( 0.07) | 26.49% ( 0.03) | 30.12% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 50.97% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.4% ( -0.2) | 53.59% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.9% ( -0.17) | 75.09% ( 0.16) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.48% ( -0.05) | 24.51% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.02% ( -0.07) | 58.98% ( 0.06) |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.53% ( -0.19) | 32.46% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.01% ( -0.21) | 68.99% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Edinburgh City |
| 1-0 @ 11.18% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 43.38% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.48% | 0-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.08% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.64% Total : 30.12% |
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