SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 49.46%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 26.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Montrose |
49.46% ( 0.55) | 23.81% ( -0.19) | 26.72% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 57.28% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.73% ( 0.56) | 44.27% ( -0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.35% ( 0.54) | 66.65% ( -0.54) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82% ( 0.43) | 18% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.14% ( 0.73) | 48.86% ( -0.73) |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.85% ( 0.02) | 30.15% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.71% ( 0.02) | 66.29% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Montrose |
| 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.6% Total : 49.46% | 1-1 @ 11.15% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.81% | 1-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 6.51% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.1% Total : 26.72% |
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