SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stirling Albion win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stirling Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stirling Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stirling Albion | Draw | Montrose |
41.46% ( 0.18) | 24.31% ( -0.04) | 34.22% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 59.82% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.19% ( 0.16) | 42.81% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.79% ( 0.16) | 65.21% ( -0.16) |
| Stirling Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.22% ( 0.16) | 20.78% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.57% ( 0.24) | 53.43% ( -0.24) |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.51% ( -0) | 24.49% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.06% ( -0) | 58.94% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stirling Albion | Draw | Montrose |
| 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.79% Total : 41.46% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.3% | 1-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.16% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.79% Total : 34.22% |
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