Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dumbarton would win this match.
0.05) 
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