SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 29.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Forfar Athletic win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Forfar Athletic |
45.24% ( 0.07) | 25.38% ( -0.02) | 29.37% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 54.05% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.58% ( 0.06) | 49.42% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.54% ( 0.06) | 71.46% ( -0.06) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.17% ( 0.06) | 21.83% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.94% ( 0.1) | 55.06% ( -0.09) |
| Forfar Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.14% ( -0) | 30.86% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.86% ( -0.01) | 67.14% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dumbarton | Draw | Forfar Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.25% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 2.36% Total : 45.24% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.78% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.99% Total : 29.37% |
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