SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 46.29%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stenhousemuir would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Dumbarton |
46.29% ( -0.81) | 24.07% ( 0.03) | 29.63% ( 0.77) |
| Both teams to score 58.6% ( 0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.47% ( 0.34) | 43.52% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.08% ( 0.33) | 65.91% ( -0.33) |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.03% ( -0.2) | 18.97% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.49% ( -0.33) | 50.5% ( 0.32) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.31% ( 0.7) | 27.68% ( -0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.76% ( 0.89) | 63.24% ( -0.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.19)2-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.3% Total : 46.29% | 1-1 @ 11.21% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.07% | 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.87% Total : 29.63% |
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