Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 43.75%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Stenhousemuir in this match.

Result
Stenhousemuir	Draw	Stranraer
43.75% ( 0.03)	23.94% ( 0.11)	32.31% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 60.49% (

-0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.35% (

-0.6)

41.64% (

0.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.95% (

-0.61)

64.04% (

0.61)

Stenhousemuir Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.72% (

-0.23)

19.28% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.98% (

-0.38)

51.02% (

0.38)

Stranraer Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.94% (

-0.37)

25.05% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.27% (

-0.52)

59.73% (

0.52)

Score Analysis

Stenhousemuir 43.75%

Stranraer 32.31%

Draw 23.93%

Stenhousemuir	Draw	Stranraer
2-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.25% Total : 43.75%	1-1 @ 11% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.93%	1-2 @ 7.62% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.62% Total : 32.31%