SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 55.51%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Aberdeen had a probability of 21.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for an Aberdeen win it was 1-0 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Celtic in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Celtic.
| Result | ||
| Aberdeen | Draw | Celtic |
21.45% ( 0.37) | 23.05% ( 0.02) | 55.51% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 53.75% ( 0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.9% ( 0.39) | 46.1% ( -0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.6% ( 0.37) | 68.4% ( -0.37) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.34% ( 0.58) | 35.66% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.56% ( 0.6) | 72.44% ( -0.6) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.55% ( 0) | 16.45% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.85% ( 0) | 46.15% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberdeen | Draw | Celtic |
| 1-0 @ 6.05% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.9% Total : 21.45% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.04% | 0-1 @ 10.59% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 9.85% ( -0)0-2 @ 9.56% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 5.93% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.75% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 2.67% 0-4 @ 2.59% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 0.97% 0-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.24% Total : 55.51% |
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