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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2022 at 3pm UK
Pittodrie Stadium
KL

Aberdeen
4 - 1
Kilmarnock

Besuijen (22'), Miovski (24' pen., 45'), Stewart (63')
Watkins (39')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Taylor (27')
Jones (18'), Taylor (51')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hibernian 3-1 Aberdeen
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Livingston 1-0 Kilmarnock
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Aberdeen 2-0 Kilmarnock

Both sides have a point to prove at the weekend as they look to move up the Scottish Premiership ranks, creating an intriguing game at Pittodrie with plenty at stake. In the end, Aberdeen should be expected to prevail in routine fashion. With plenty of potency running through the home side, they will inevitably have too much for the visitors who are struggling in the final third of the pitch and looking low on confidence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 61.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 16.57%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.

Result
AberdeenDrawKilmarnock
61.1% (0.0030000000000001 0) 22.33%16.57%
Both teams to score 47.62% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.99% (0.0020000000000024 0)50.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.01% (0.0019999999999989 0)71.99% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.1% (0.0040000000000049 0)15.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.85% (0.0040000000000049 0)45.15%
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.63% (0.00099999999999767 0)43.37% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.39%79.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Aberdeen 61.1%
    Kilmarnock 16.57%
    Draw 22.32%
AberdeenDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 12.68%
2-0 @ 11.66% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.74%
3-0 @ 7.15%
3-1 @ 5.97% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 3.28%
4-1 @ 2.74%
3-2 @ 2.49%
5-0 @ 1.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.15%
5-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 61.1%
1-1 @ 10.59%
0-0 @ 6.9%
2-2 @ 4.07%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 22.32%
0-1 @ 5.76%
1-2 @ 4.43%
0-2 @ 2.41%
1-3 @ 1.23%
2-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 16.57%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Hibernian 3-1 Aberdeen
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Ross County 1-1 Aberdeen
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Annan 1-4 Aberdeen (0-0 pen.)
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Aberdeen 5-0 Livingston
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Johnstone 0-1 Aberdeen
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 2-3 Motherwell
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Livingston 1-0 Kilmarnock
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hibernian 1-0 Kilmarnock
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 0-1 Kilmarnock
Wednesday, August 31 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-1 Motherwell
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Ross County 1-0 Kilmarnock
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 0-5 Celtic
Sunday, August 14 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership


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