SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kilmarnock in this match.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Hibernian |
41.72% ( 0.22) | 25.63% ( 0.03) | 32.65% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 54.77% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.83% ( -0.19) | 49.16% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.77% ( -0.18) | 71.23% ( 0.17) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.6% ( 0.03) | 23.39% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.62% ( 0.04) | 57.37% ( -0.04) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.5% ( -0.26) | 28.5% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.73% ( -0.32) | 64.27% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Hibernian |
| 1-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.04% Total : 41.72% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.63% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.69% Total : 32.65% |
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