SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | St Mirren |
46.9% ( 0.05) | 25.85% ( -0) | 27.25% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 51.17% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.5% ( -0.03) | 52.5% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.83% ( -0.03) | 74.17% ( 0.03) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.62% ( 0.01) | 22.37% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.12% ( 0.02) | 55.87% ( -0.02) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.92% ( -0.06) | 34.07% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.24% ( -0.07) | 70.76% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kilmarnock | Draw | St Mirren |
| 1-0 @ 11.41% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.55% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.59% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.17% Total : 46.89% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.84% | 0-1 @ 8.21% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0)Other @ 2.27% Total : 27.25% |
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