SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Livingston win was 1-0 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Livingston | Draw | Hearts |
34.16% ( 0.02) | 25.44% ( 0.03) | 40.4% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 55.83% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.01% ( -0.14) | 47.98% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.84% ( -0.13) | 70.15% ( 0.12) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.01% ( -0.06) | 26.98% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.67% ( -0.07) | 62.32% ( 0.07) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.46% ( -0.09) | 23.53% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.42% ( -0.13) | 57.58% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Livingston | Draw | Hearts |
| 1-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.44% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.38% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 3.07% Total : 34.16% | 1-1 @ 12.03% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.71% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.65% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.2% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.16% ( -0)2-4 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.04% Total : 40.4% |
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