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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 38
May 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Fir Park
DU

Motherwell
3 - 2
Dundee Utd

van Veen (5'), Spittal (69'), Johnston (82')
Miller (52'), Blaney (56')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McGrath (31' pen.), Fletcher (49')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Livingston 1-1 Motherwell
Wednesday, May 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee Utd 0-3 Kilmarnock
Wednesday, May 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 50.92%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Dundee United had a probability of 24.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Dundee United win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.

Result
MotherwellDrawDundee United
50.92% (-0.821 -0.82) 24.57% (0.216 0.22) 24.51% (0.606 0.61)
Both teams to score 52.68% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.65% (-0.341 -0.34)49.34% (0.34200000000001 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.6% (-0.308 -0.31)71.39% (0.309 0.31)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.62% (-0.45699999999999 -0.46)19.38% (0.458 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.82% (-0.756 -0.76)51.18% (0.757 0.76)
Dundee United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.35% (0.34700000000001 0.35)34.65% (-0.345 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.62% (0.366 0.37)71.37% (-0.364 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 50.91%
    Dundee United 24.51%
    Draw 24.56%
MotherwellDrawDundee United
1-0 @ 11.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.04% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-1 @ 5.24% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-0 @ 4.95% (-0.147 -0.15)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.15% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.03% (-0.091 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 50.91%
1-1 @ 11.67% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 6.72% (0.093 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.56%
0-1 @ 7.12% (0.164 0.16)
1-2 @ 6.19% (0.112 0.11)
0-2 @ 3.77% (0.122 0.12)
1-3 @ 2.19% (0.06 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.79% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.33% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 24.51%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Livingston 1-1 Motherwell
Wednesday, May 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 1-0 Ross County
Saturday, May 20 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Johnstone 0-2 Motherwell
Saturday, May 13 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 2-0 Kilmarnock
Saturday, May 6 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Celtic 1-1 Motherwell
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 1-2 Dundee Utd
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee Utd 0-3 Kilmarnock
Wednesday, May 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Livingston 2-1 Dundee Utd
Saturday, May 20 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee Utd 1-3 Ross County
Saturday, May 13 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Johnstone 1-0 Dundee Utd
Saturday, May 6 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee Utd 2-0 Livingston
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 1-2 Dundee Utd
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership


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