SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 57.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 18.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.35%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 1-0 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | Dundee |
18.46% ( -0.06) | 23.9% ( -0.03) | 57.63% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 46.53% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.65% ( 0.02) | 53.35% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.11% ( 0.01) | 74.89% ( -0.01) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.96% ( -0.06) | 43.03% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.68% ( -0.05) | 79.32% ( 0.05) |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.68% ( 0.04) | 18.32% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.58% ( 0.06) | 49.41% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Johnstone | Draw | Dundee |
| 1-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.8% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 1.78% Total : 18.46% | 1-1 @ 11.28% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.88% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.7% Total : 23.9% | 0-1 @ 13.38% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 11.35% ( 0.02)1-2 @ 9.57% ( 0)0-3 @ 6.42% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.42% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.73% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.3% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.28% 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0)0-5 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 57.63% |
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