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Segunda Division | Gameweek 27
Feb 12, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadio Carlos Belmonte

Albacete
3 - 2
Malaga

Marin (4'), Fuster (55'), Dubasin (62')
Maikel (12')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Junior (16'), Sol (34')
Caro (25'), Munoz (36'), Junior (38'), N'Diaye (44')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Albacete and Malaga.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tenerife 1-0 Albacete
Saturday, February 4 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Malaga 0-1 Real Oviedo
Friday, February 3 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albacete win with a probability of 46.87%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albacete win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Albacete would win this match.

Result
AlbaceteDrawMalaga
46.87% (-0.799 -0.8) 28.43% (-0.142 -0.14) 24.7% (0.94 0.94)
Both teams to score 42.18% (1.115 1.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.92% (0.993 0.99)63.08% (-0.995 -1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.47% (0.711 0.71)82.52% (-0.71299999999999 -0.71)
Albacete Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.91% (0.064999999999998 0.06)27.09% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.52% (0.085999999999999 0.09)62.47% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Malaga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.85% (1.475 1.47)42.15% (-1.478 -1.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.43% (1.248 1.25)78.57% (-1.25 -1.25)
Score Analysis
    Albacete 46.87%
    Malaga 24.7%
    Draw 28.41%
AlbaceteDrawMalaga
1-0 @ 14.91% (-0.53 -0.53)
2-0 @ 9.74% (-0.322 -0.32)
2-1 @ 8.41% (0.064 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.24% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-1 @ 3.66% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.58% (0.078 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.38% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.2% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 46.87%
1-1 @ 12.88% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 11.41% (-0.43 -0.43)
2-2 @ 3.63% (0.171 0.17)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 28.41%
0-1 @ 9.87% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 5.57% (0.252 0.25)
0-2 @ 4.26% (0.185 0.19)
1-3 @ 1.6% (0.134 0.13)
0-3 @ 1.23% (0.1 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.05% (0.089 0.09)
Other @ 1.13%
Total : 24.7%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Tenerife 1-0 Albacete
Saturday, February 4 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Albacete 2-0 Lugo
Sunday, January 29 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: FC Andorra 0-1 Albacete
Monday, January 23 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Albacete 1-0 Leganes
Monday, January 16 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Huesca 1-1 Albacete
Monday, January 9 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: UD Logrones 0-0 Albacete (4-3 pen.)
Wednesday, December 21 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Malaga 0-1 Real Oviedo
Friday, February 3 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Sporting Gijon 0-0 Malaga
Sunday, January 29 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Malaga 1-1 Burgos
Saturday, January 21 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Eibar 2-1 Malaga
Sunday, January 15 at 1pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Malaga 1-1 Tenerife
Saturday, January 7 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Gimnastic 2-1 Malaga
Thursday, December 22 at 8pm in Copa del Rey


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