Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Cartagena had a probability of 33.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Cartagena win was 1-0 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.
-0.9) 
0.2) 
