Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 45.23%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 25.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.51%) and 1-2 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.04%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 1-0 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.