Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Granada had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Granada win was 0-1 (10.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leganes in this match.
0.14) 
-0.04) 
