Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 36.76%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 31.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.45%) and 1-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Leganes win was 1-0 (13.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.