Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 59.19%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Villarreal II had a probability of 16.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.76%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Villarreal II win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leganes in this match.