Segunda Division | Gameweek 42
May 28, 2022 at 5.15pm UK
Anxo Carro, Lugo
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Lugo and Malaga.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugo win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Malaga had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Malaga win was 0-1 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lugo in this match.
| Result |
| Lugo | Draw | Malaga |
38.23% ( -0.01) | 27.94% ( 0) | 33.83% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 47.79% ( -0) |
| 41.82% ( -0.01) | 58.18% ( 0.01) |
| 21.17% ( -0) | 78.83% ( 0) |
| 70.53% ( -0.01) | 29.47% ( 0) |
