Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 39.2%. A draw had a probability of 31.3% and a win for UD Logrones had a probability of 29.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.1%) and 2-1 (7.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.49%), while for a UD Logrones win it was 0-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood.