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Segunda Division | Gameweek 40
May 18, 2021 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio El Toralin
EL

Ponferradina
1 - 4
Espanyol

Darder (51' og.)
Curro (35'), Garcia (45+1'), Sielva (60'), Moran (62'), Antonio Rios (85')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Dimata (1', 54'), Puado (8' pen.), Nico (90+2')
Lopez (40')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Ponferradina and Espanyol.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 55.58%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 18.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.93%) and 1-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 1-0 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.

Result
PonferradinaDrawEspanyol
18.45%25.97%55.58%
Both teams to score 41.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.47%60.52%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.36%80.63%
Ponferradina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.72%47.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.3%82.69%
Espanyol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.04%21.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.76%55.24%
Score Analysis
    Ponferradina 18.45%
    Espanyol 55.57%
    Draw 25.95%
PonferradinaDrawEspanyol
1-0 @ 7.78%
2-1 @ 4.42%
2-0 @ 2.91%
3-1 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 18.45%
1-1 @ 11.78%
0-0 @ 10.37%
2-2 @ 3.35%
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 15.73%
0-2 @ 11.93%
1-2 @ 8.94%
0-3 @ 6.03%
1-3 @ 4.52%
0-4 @ 2.29%
1-4 @ 1.71%
2-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 55.57%

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