Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Racing Club de Ferrol had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Racing Club de Ferrol win was 1-0 (10.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
0.2) 
-0.54) 
