Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 44.51%. A win for Levante had a probability of 28.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Levante win was 0-1 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
3) 
-0.32) 
