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Segunda Division | Gameweek 38
May 5, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de la Romareda

Zaragoza
1 - 3
Burgos

Grau (45+1')
Gamez (21')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Montiel (28'), Curro (46'), Sancris (84')
Gonzalez (55')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Real Zaragoza and Burgos.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leganes 1-1 Zaragoza
Saturday, April 27 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Burgos 2-2 Amorebieta
Saturday, April 27 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 47.95%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 24.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Real ZaragozaDrawBurgos
47.95% (-0.622 -0.62) 27.86% (0.125 0.13) 24.19% (0.497 0.5)
Both teams to score 43.15% (0.121 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.39% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)61.61% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.55% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)81.45% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Real Zaragoza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.13% (-0.33799999999999 -0.34)25.87% (0.338 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.15% (-0.459 -0.46)60.85% (0.46 0.46)
Burgos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.21% (0.428 0.43)41.78% (-0.429 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.75% (0.373 0.37)78.25% (-0.373 -0.37)
Score Analysis
    Real Zaragoza 47.94%
    Burgos 24.19%
    Draw 27.85%
Real ZaragozaDrawBurgos
1-0 @ 14.61% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-0 @ 9.88% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-1 @ 8.62% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.45% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-1 @ 3.89% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.7% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.055 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.31% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 47.94%
1-1 @ 12.75% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 10.81% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.76% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 27.85%
0-1 @ 9.43% (0.138 0.14)
1-2 @ 5.57% (0.093 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.12% (0.107 0.11)
1-3 @ 1.62% (0.046 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.2% (0.045 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.09% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 24.19%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Leganes 1-1 Zaragoza
Saturday, April 27 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Huesca 1-2 Zaragoza
Saturday, April 20 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Zaragoza 1-1 Elche
Sunday, April 14 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Levante 2-1 Zaragoza
Saturday, April 6 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Zaragoza 3-1 Tenerife
Sunday, March 31 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Mirandes 0-0 Zaragoza
Sunday, March 24 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Burgos 2-2 Amorebieta
Saturday, April 27 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Mirandes 2-1 Burgos
Sunday, April 21 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Burgos 2-1 Racing
Sunday, April 14 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Villarreal II 2-1 Burgos
Sunday, April 7 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Burgos 0-0 Espanyol
Friday, March 29 at 7.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Huesca 3-0 Burgos
Sunday, March 24 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division


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