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Segunda Division | Gameweek 40
May 13, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de la Romareda

Zaragoza
2 - 0
Cartagena

Poveda (27' og.), Bermejo (90+6' pen.)
Alvarez (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Real Zaragoza and Cartagena.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Oviedo 2-1 Zaragoza
Sunday, May 7 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Cartagena 0-0 Burgos
Sunday, May 7 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 47.55%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 24.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Zaragoza would win this match.

Result
Real ZaragozaDrawCartagena
47.55% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05) 27.8% (0.053999999999998 0.05) 24.64% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 43.68% (-0.143 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.86% (-0.18 -0.18)61.14% (0.178 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.9% (-0.135 -0.14)81.09% (0.131 0.13)
Real Zaragoza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.15% (-0.11 -0.11)25.85% (0.107 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.18% (-0.146 -0.15)60.82% (0.143 0.14)
Cartagena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.91% (-0.10700000000001 -0.11)41.09% (0.103 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.36% (-0.093 -0.09)77.63% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Real Zaragoza 47.55%
    Cartagena 24.64%
    Draw 27.8%
Real ZaragozaDrawCartagena
1-0 @ 14.36% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 9.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.65% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.38% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.9% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.73% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.48% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 47.55%
1-1 @ 12.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.62% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.85% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 27.8%
0-1 @ 9.45% (0.035 0.04)
1-2 @ 5.68% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.2% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 1.69% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.25% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 24.64%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Real Oviedo 2-1 Zaragoza
Sunday, May 7 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Zaragoza 1-1 Las Palmas
Sunday, April 30 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Eibar 1-1 Zaragoza
Friday, April 21 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Zaragoza 4-1 Racing
Saturday, April 15 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Zaragoza 1-0 Granada
Saturday, April 8 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Levante 1-1 Zaragoza
Friday, March 31 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Cartagena 0-0 Burgos
Sunday, May 7 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Albacete 1-1 Cartagena
Saturday, April 29 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Cartagena 2-1 Sporting Gijon
Saturday, April 22 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Malaga 1-0 Cartagena
Sunday, April 16 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Cartagena 1-0 Mirandes
Sunday, April 9 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Leganes 1-3 Cartagena
Saturday, April 1 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division


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