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Segunda Division | Gameweek 38
Jul 6, 2020 at 8.45pm UK
La Romareda
RV

Zaragoza
2 - 4
Rayo Vallecano

Atienza (5'), Puado (60')
Delmas (87'), Soro (89'), Eguaras (89'), Pereira (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Villar (45+2', 51'), Garcia (54'), Trejo (90+4')
Garcia (25'), Suarez (34'), Advincula (65'), Trejo (90+3')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Real Zaragoza and Rayo Vallecano.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 36.05%. A win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 35.24% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.57%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 (11.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.

Result
Real ZaragozaDrawRayo Vallecano
35.24%28.71%36.05%
Both teams to score 45.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.17%60.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.13%80.86%
Real Zaragoza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.33%32.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.78%69.21%
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.86%32.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.38%68.62%
Score Analysis
    Real Zaragoza 35.23%
    Rayo Vallecano 36.04%
    Draw 28.7%
Real ZaragozaDrawRayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 11.74%
2-1 @ 7.46%
2-0 @ 6.57%
3-1 @ 2.78%
3-0 @ 2.45%
3-2 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 35.23%
1-1 @ 13.33%
0-0 @ 10.49%
2-2 @ 4.23%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 28.7%
0-1 @ 11.91%
1-2 @ 7.57%
0-2 @ 6.76%
1-3 @ 2.86%
0-3 @ 2.56%
2-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 36.04%


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