Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 45.14%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 26.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.01%) and 1-2 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.96%), while for a Sporting Gijon win it was 1-0 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Las Palmas in this match.
0.64) 
-1.35) 
