Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 48.54%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Villarreal II had a probability of 24.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.83%) and 1-2 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Villarreal II win it was 1-0 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
-0.01) 
0.02) 
