AC Milan
3 - 0
Spezia Calcio

Leao (57', 78'), Hernandez (76')
Calhanoglu (47')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ricci (32'), Gyasi (40')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Spezia Calcio, including predictions and team news.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 59.45%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Spezia Calcio had a probability of 18.96%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Spezia Calcio win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Spezia
59.45%	21.59%	18.96%

Both teams to score 54.56%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.92%

43.08%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.52%

65.48%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.88%

14.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.24%

41.76%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.53%

36.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.75%

73.25%

Score Analysis

AC Milan 59.45%

Spezia 18.96%

Draw 21.58%

AC Milan	Draw	Spezia
1-0 @ 10.08% 2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.87% 3-1 @ 6.5% 3-0 @ 6.44% 3-2 @ 3.28% 4-1 @ 3.18% 4-0 @ 3.15% 4-2 @ 1.6% 5-1 @ 1.24% 5-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.94% Total : 59.45%	1-1 @ 10.16% 0-0 @ 5.15% 2-2 @ 5.02% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.58%	0-1 @ 5.19% 1-2 @ 5.13% 0-2 @ 2.62% 1-3 @ 1.73% 2-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.6% Total : 18.96%