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Serie A | Gameweek 28
Jun 27, 2020 at 4.15pm UK
Stadio Mario Rigamonti
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Brescia
2 - 2
Genoa

Donnarumma (10'), Semprini (13')
Mateju (45'), Dessena (69'), Bjarnason (75'), Sabelli (86')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Falque (38' pen.), Pinamonti (69' pen.)
Zapata (58'), Biraschi (71')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Brescia win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
BresciaDrawGenoa
36.01%25.21%38.77%
Both teams to score 56.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.29%46.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.03%68.97%
Brescia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.7%25.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.93%60.06%
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.2%23.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.04%57.96%
Score Analysis
    Brescia 36.01%
    Genoa 38.77%
    Draw 25.21%
BresciaDrawGenoa
1-0 @ 8.27%
2-1 @ 8.16%
2-0 @ 5.69%
3-1 @ 3.74%
3-2 @ 2.69%
3-0 @ 2.61%
4-1 @ 1.29%
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 36.01%
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 6.02%
2-2 @ 5.86%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 8.64%
1-2 @ 8.53%
0-2 @ 6.2%
1-3 @ 4.08%
0-3 @ 2.97%
2-3 @ 2.8%
1-4 @ 1.46%
0-4 @ 1.07%
2-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 38.77%


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