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Serie A | Gameweek 12
Nov 6, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Sant'Elia
AL

Cagliari
1 - 2
Atalanta

Pedro (27')
Godin (20')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Pasalic (6'), Zapata (43')
Koopmeiners (45')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 63.43%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 17.45%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.68%) and 0-1 (7.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.52%), while for a Cagliari win it was 2-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Atalanta BC in this match.

Result
CagliariDrawAtalanta BC
17.45%19.12%63.43%
Both teams to score 60.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.02%33.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.16%55.84%
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.36%32.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.82%69.18%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.77%10.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.46%33.55%
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 17.45%
    Atalanta BC 63.43%
    Draw 19.12%
CagliariDrawAtalanta BC
2-1 @ 4.77%
1-0 @ 3.74%
2-0 @ 2.09%
3-2 @ 2.03%
3-1 @ 1.78%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 17.45%
1-1 @ 8.52%
2-2 @ 5.44%
0-0 @ 3.34%
3-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 19.12%
1-2 @ 9.72%
0-2 @ 8.68%
0-1 @ 7.61%
1-3 @ 7.39%
0-3 @ 6.6%
1-4 @ 4.21%
2-3 @ 4.14%
0-4 @ 3.76%
2-4 @ 2.36%
1-5 @ 1.92%
0-5 @ 1.72%
2-5 @ 1.08%
Other @ 4.27%
Total : 63.43%

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