After grinding out a draw with Barcelona, having both a new boss and star striker Victor Osimhen back in the fold should help Napoli to overcome Cagliari once again. The hosts have been unstable defensively, so even the champions' goal-shy attack can thrive on Sunday.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
0.05) 
-0.07) 
