Though not facing the ideal opponent when seeking to end a goal famine, Fiorentina can do so back on home soil - but they may not be able to take any points from what is set to be a close-fought contest. The hosts rarely lose at home, but Juventus have established a way of grimly grinding out results. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 49.26%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 26.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Juventus win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Juventus
49.26% ( -1.67)	24.37% ( 0.42)	26.37% ( 1.25)

Both teams to score 55.11% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.01% (

-0.78)

46.99% (

0.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.76% (

-0.73)

69.24% (

0.73)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.87% (

-0.96)

19.13% (

0.96)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.23% (

-1.61)

50.77% (

1.61)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.15% (

0.6)

31.85% (

-0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.7% (

0.68)

68.29% (

-0.68)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 49.25%

Juventus 26.37%

Draw 24.36%

Fiorentina	Draw	Juventus
1-0 @ 10.07% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.24) 3-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.23) 3-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.28) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.18) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.14% Total : 49.25%	1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.36%	0-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.7% Total : 26.37%