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Serie A | Gameweek 2
Sep 26, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
FL

Inter Milan
4 - 3
Fiorentina

Martinez (45+2'), Ceccherini (52' og.), Lukaku (87'), D'Ambrosio (89')
Barella (7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kouame (3'), Castrovilli (57'), Chiesa (63')
Ceccherini (32')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 67.2%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 14.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 1-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 1-2 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawFiorentina
67.2%18.63%14.17%
Both teams to score 54.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.52%38.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.22%60.78%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.44%10.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.7%34.3%
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.48%39.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.79%76.21%
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 67.19%
    Fiorentina 14.17%
    Draw 18.63%
Inter MilanDrawFiorentina
2-0 @ 10.54%
2-1 @ 9.79%
1-0 @ 9.38%
3-0 @ 7.9%
3-1 @ 7.34%
4-0 @ 4.44%
4-1 @ 4.13%
3-2 @ 3.41%
5-0 @ 2%
4-2 @ 1.92%
5-1 @ 1.86%
Other @ 4.5%
Total : 67.19%
1-1 @ 8.71%
2-2 @ 4.55%
0-0 @ 4.17%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 18.63%
1-2 @ 4.04%
0-1 @ 3.87%
0-2 @ 1.8%
2-3 @ 1.41%
1-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 14.17%


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