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Serie A | Gameweek 12
Nov 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
FL

Inter Milan
2 - 0
Frosinone

Dimarco (43'), Calhanoglu (48' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salzburg 0-1 Inter Milan
Wednesday, November 8 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Frosinone 2-1 Empoli
Monday, November 6 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Inter Milan 3-1 Frosinone

As Inter have become machine-like in their consistency over the past few weeks, they will surely not slip up at San Siro on Sunday. For all their fine form at home, Frosinone have picked up just two points on the road thus far and are unlikely to upset the Scudetto favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 67.96%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 13.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.01%), while for a Frosinone win it was 0-1 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Inter Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.

Result
Inter MilanDrawFrosinone
67.96% (-0.68900000000001 -0.69) 18.97% (0.369 0.37) 13.07% (0.319 0.32)
Both teams to score 49.71% (-0.327 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.34% (-0.923 -0.92)42.66% (0.921 0.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.93% (-0.926 -0.93)65.07% (0.92299999999999 0.92)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.46% (-0.446 -0.45)11.54% (0.443 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.54% (-0.97 -0.97)36.46% (0.967 0.97)
Frosinone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.19% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)43.81% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.03% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)79.97% (0.069999999999993 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 67.95%
    Frosinone 13.07%
    Draw 18.97%
Inter MilanDrawFrosinone
2-0 @ 11.78% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
1-0 @ 10.91% (0.25 0.25)
2-1 @ 9.73% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 8.48% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-1 @ 7% (-0.107 -0.11)
4-0 @ 4.58% (-0.143 -0.14)
4-1 @ 3.78% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.052 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.98% (-0.099 -0.1)
5-1 @ 1.63% (-0.086 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.56% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 67.95%
1-1 @ 9.01% (0.185 0.19)
0-0 @ 5.06% (0.203 0.2)
2-2 @ 4.01% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 18.97%
0-1 @ 4.17% (0.159 0.16)
1-2 @ 3.72% (0.068 0.07)
0-2 @ 1.72% (0.062 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.1% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.02% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 13.07%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Salzburg 0-1 Inter Milan
Wednesday, November 8 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Atalanta 1-2 Inter Milan
Saturday, November 4 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Roma
Sunday, October 29 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-1 Salzburg
Tuesday, October 24 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Torino 0-3 Inter Milan
Saturday, October 21 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-2 Bologna
Saturday, October 7 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Frosinone 2-1 Empoli
Monday, November 6 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 1-2 Frosinone
Thursday, November 2 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Cagliari 4-3 Frosinone
Sunday, October 29 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 2-1 Frosinone
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Frosinone 2-1 Hellas Verona
Sunday, October 8 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 2-0 Frosinone
Sunday, October 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A


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