After an unexpected delay, Max Allegri could finally become the first coach in Serie A history to top 1000 points. Currently on 999, his Juventus side have stumbled in recent weeks, but the off-colour Canarini could prove perfect opponents.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 73.65%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 9.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.71%) and 3-0 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.86%), while for a Frosinone win it was 0-1 (3.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
0.31) 
-0.13) 
