As Fiorentina have really struggled to score on the road and Lazio are among Italy's most secure sides defensively, there can only be one outcome when they meet this weekend. The capital city club are on fluent form, with 'Sarrisimo' fully embedded in their fabric, and have suitably grand plans for the rest of 2023.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 47.25%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
0.08) 
-0.04) 
