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Serie A | Gameweek 7
Sep 30, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
NL

Lecce
0 - 4
Napoli


Gallo (36'), Ramadani (57'), D'Aversa (67'), Gonzalez (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Skiri Oestigaard (16'), Osimhen (51'), Gaetano (88'), Politano (90+4' pen.)
Simeone (17'), Kvaratskhelia (33')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juventus 1-0 Lecce
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 4-1 Udinese
Wednesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 1-2 Napoli

It may not be the most harmonious camp at Napoli right now, but last season's champions still possess plenty of punch in attack. Though Lecce have conceded just one goal at home so far, the Azzurri can leave Via del Mare clutching all three points; setting up their big European clash next week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 50%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 23.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.81%) and 1-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
LecceDrawNapoli
23.75% (0.288 0.29) 26.25% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 50% (-0.264 -0.26)
Both teams to score 46.97% (0.356 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.54% (0.314 0.31)56.46% (-0.315 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.53% (0.252 0.25)77.46% (-0.253 -0.25)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.72% (0.45 0.45)39.28% (-0.449 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.01% (0.415 0.41)75.98% (-0.416 -0.42)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.35% (0.015000000000001 0.02)22.65% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.71% (0.021999999999998 0.02)56.29% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 23.75%
    Napoli 50%
    Draw 26.24%
LecceDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 8.31% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 5.77% (0.074 0.07)
2-0 @ 3.89% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 1.8% (0.045 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.33% (0.033 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.21% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 23.75%
1-1 @ 12.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.9% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4.28% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 26.24%
0-1 @ 13.21% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-2 @ 9.81% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-2 @ 9.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.86% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.54% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.12% (0.029 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.8% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.69% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 50%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Juventus 1-0 Lecce
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 1-0 Genoa
Friday, September 22 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 1-1 Lecce
Sunday, September 17 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 2-0 Salernitana
Sunday, September 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-2 Lecce
Sunday, August 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 2-1 Lazio
Sunday, August 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 4-1 Udinese
Wednesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 0-0 Napoli
Sunday, September 24 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Braga 1-2 Napoli
Wednesday, September 20 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Genoa 2-2 Napoli
Saturday, September 16 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 1-2 Lazio
Saturday, September 2 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 2-0 Sassuolo
Sunday, August 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A


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