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Serie A | Gameweek 24
Feb 7, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Arechi
SC

Salernitana
2 - 2
Spezia

Verdi (3', 16')
Mousset (30'), Fazio (53'), Radovanovic (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Manaj (12' pen.), Verde (30' pen.)
Amian (15'), Kiwior (88'), Nguiamba (90+4')

We said: Salernitana 0-1 Spezia

Spezia's recent form has been excellent, and we are finding it difficult to predict anything other than an away victory here considering Salernitana's struggles, but a busy January window for the hosts will leave the supporters hopeful that their team's fortunes could change in the second half of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 38.47%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
SalernitanaDrawSpezia
35.53%26%38.47%
Both teams to score 54.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.79%50.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.83%72.17%
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.77%27.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.35%62.65%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.45%25.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.58%60.41%
Score Analysis
    Salernitana 35.53%
    Spezia 38.47%
    Draw 25.99%
SalernitanaDrawSpezia
1-0 @ 9.05%
2-1 @ 8.03%
2-0 @ 5.89%
3-1 @ 3.48%
3-0 @ 2.55%
3-2 @ 2.38%
4-1 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 35.53%
1-1 @ 12.34%
0-0 @ 6.96%
2-2 @ 5.48%
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.99%
0-1 @ 9.49%
1-2 @ 8.43%
0-2 @ 6.48%
1-3 @ 3.83%
0-3 @ 2.95%
2-3 @ 2.49%
1-4 @ 1.31%
0-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 38.47%

Read more!
Read more!


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