Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest SPAL win was 1-0 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cagliari in this match.