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SL
Serie A | Gameweek 27
Jun 23, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Stadio Paolo Mazza
CL

SPAL
0 - 1
Cagliari


Espeto (11'), Bonifazi (45'), Valdifiori (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Simeone (90+3')
Ionita (13'), Nandez (37'), Rog (40')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest SPAL win was 1-0 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cagliari in this match.

Result
SPALDrawCagliari
33.86%25.92%40.22%
Both teams to score 54.16%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.89%50.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.92%72.08%
SPAL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.81%28.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.11%63.89%
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.43%24.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.94%59.06%
Score Analysis
    SPAL 33.86%
    Cagliari 40.22%
    Draw 25.92%
SPALDrawCagliari
1-0 @ 8.77%
2-1 @ 7.79%
2-0 @ 5.55%
3-1 @ 3.29%
3-0 @ 2.34%
3-2 @ 2.31%
4-1 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 33.86%
1-1 @ 12.31%
0-0 @ 6.93%
2-2 @ 5.47%
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.92%
0-1 @ 9.72%
1-2 @ 8.64%
0-2 @ 6.82%
1-3 @ 4.04%
0-3 @ 3.19%
2-3 @ 2.56%
1-4 @ 1.42%
0-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 40.22%


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