With Bologna missing several key players through injury and suspension, Udinese could hardly have asked for a better chance to end their lengthy winless run in Serie A.
While we do not expect Sottil's side to win at a canter given their recent struggles in terms of claiming all three points, we do expect them to do so, particularly if Deulofeu is passed fit to start as expected.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 51.52%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 23.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
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