Always obdurate opponents at the Dacia Arena, Udinese will not make life easy for their capital-city counterparts, but injuries have diminished the hosts' attacking threat. Lazio must surely snap out of their malaise before Milan make up more ground and jeopardise their top-four placing - and victory on Sunday should help them do so.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 40.34%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lazio in this match.
-0.37) 
0.17) 
