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Serie B | Gameweek 3
Aug 29, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca

Ascoli
3 - 0
FeralpiSalo

Mendes (29', 77' pen.), Rodriguez (31')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Balestrero (28'), Ceppitelli (51'), Pilati (65')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Ascoli and FeralpiSalo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Modena 1-0 Ascoli
Saturday, August 26 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: FeralpiSalo 0-2 Sudtirol
Saturday, August 26 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 55.11%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for FeralpiSalo had a probability of 19.99%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a FeralpiSalo win it was 0-1 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ascoli would win this match.

Result
AscoliDrawFeralpiSalo
55.11% (0.35 0.35) 24.9% (-0.198 -0.2) 19.99% (-0.155 -0.16)
Both teams to score 46.15% (0.32100000000001 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.86% (0.544 0.54)55.14% (-0.54799999999999 -0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.61% (0.447 0.45)76.39% (-0.44999999999999 -0.45)
Ascoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.03% (0.354 0.35)19.97% (-0.357 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.85% (0.567 0.57)52.14% (-0.572 -0.57)
FeralpiSalo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.66% (0.144 0.14)42.33% (-0.148 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.28% (0.125 0.13)78.72% (-0.128 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Ascoli 55.09%
    FeralpiSalo 19.99%
    Draw 24.89%
AscoliDrawFeralpiSalo
1-0 @ 13.61% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-0 @ 10.96% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.89% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.06% (0.08 0.08)
4-0 @ 2.37% (0.054 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.043 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.04% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 55.09%
1-1 @ 11.7% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 8.45% (-0.181 -0.18)
2-2 @ 4.05% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 24.89%
0-1 @ 7.27% (-0.126 -0.13)
1-2 @ 5.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.12% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.44% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.16% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 19.99%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Modena 1-0 Ascoli
Saturday, August 26 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Cosenza 3-0 Ascoli
Saturday, August 19 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Hellas Verona 3-1 Ascoli
Saturday, August 12 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Reggina 1-0 Ascoli
Friday, May 19 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Ascoli 1-1 Cosenza
Saturday, May 13 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Genoa 2-1 Ascoli
Saturday, May 6 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: FeralpiSalo 0-2 Sudtirol
Saturday, August 26 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Parma 2-0 FeralpiSalo
Sunday, August 20 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Torino 2-1 FeralpiSalo
Monday, August 14 at 8.15pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: FeralpiSalo 2-1 Vicenza
Sunday, August 6 at 7pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Udinese 2-1 FeralpiSalo
Friday, August 5 at 5pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Sudtirol 1-3 FeralpiSalo
Saturday, July 30 at 5pm in Coppa Italia


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