Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 51.57%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for SPAL had a probability of 22.55%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a SPAL win it was 0-1 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Ascoli	Draw	SPAL
51.57% ( 3.09)	25.87% ( -0.32)	22.55% ( -2.76)

Both teams to score 46.72% (

-1.86)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.88% (

-1.01)

56.12% (

1.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.81% (

-0.83)

77.19% (

0.83)

Ascoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.17% (

0.93)

21.82% (

-0.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.96% (

1.4)

55.04% (

-1.4)

SPAL Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.76% (

-3.13)

40.24% (

3.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.13% (

-2.97)

76.87% (

2.97)

Score Analysis

Ascoli 51.56%

SPAL 22.55%

Draw 25.87%

Ascoli	Draw	SPAL
1-0 @ 13.36% ( 0.86) 2-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.92) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.6) 3-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.27) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.02% Total : 51.56%	1-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.33) Other @ 0.71% Total : 25.87%	0-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.38) 1-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.6) 0-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.51) 1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.35) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.22) 0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.27) Other @ 1.32% Total : 22.55%