Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 53.18%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Reggina had a probability of 21.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Reggina win it was 0-1 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bari in this match.

Result
Bari	Draw	Reggina
53.18% ( 5.88)	24.89% ( -0.87)	21.92% ( -5.01)

Both teams to score 48.74% (

-2.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.93% (

-0.73)

53.07% (

0.73)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.34% (

-0.62)

74.65% (

0.62)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.07% (

2.2)

19.92% (

-2.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.93% (

3.43)

52.07% (

-3.42)

Reggina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.86% (

-4.89)

39.13% (

4.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.15% (

-4.9)

75.84% (

4.9)

Score Analysis

Bari 53.17%

Reggina 21.92%

Draw 24.89%

Bari	Draw	Reggina
1-0 @ 12.57% ( 1.15) 2-0 @ 10.14% ( 1.52) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.28) 3-0 @ 5.46% ( 1.12) 3-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.47) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.57) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.31) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.74% Total : 53.17%	1-1 @ 11.8% ( -0.44) 0-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.48) Other @ 0.83% Total : 24.89%	0-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.8) 1-2 @ 5.54% ( -1.03) 0-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.92) 1-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.61) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.37) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.48) Other @ 1.43% Total : 21.92%