Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for Como had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Como win was 1-0 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
-0.32) 
0.49) 
